Then there are the two ranks jacks and queens which will out-kick the player. We don't count the other three nines because those will result in a push.
So, because there are only 23 outs 21 or more , we fold. I get asked a lot about combinations of cards that will beat the player.
For example, any two dealer spades that would give the dealer a flush in the example above. The answer is no. It would really make things complicated if the strategy accounted for double-card combinations that would beat the player.
Following my Wizard strategy will result in a house edge of 2. The second and third decision points are influenced by the James Grosjean strategy , for which I have great respect, as I do for all of Grosjean's work.
I highly recommend his strategy if you want to something even more powerful than my simple strategy above. This is the most common progressive jackpot, in my experience, so I'll title it the "Common Progressive.
The following table shows the probability and contribution to the return for the various wins. Wins are relative to the amount bet and are on a "for one" basis.
What the table above immediately shows us is fixed wins return For each additional player at the table, besides yourself, your return goes up by 0.
The next table shows the break-even point, where the Progressive side bet has zero house edge, according to the bet amount and number of other players not counting yourself.
The top win is for a royal flush using at least one hole card, which I call a "hidden royal flush. The following table shows the return of the fixed wins only, not counting the envy bonus.
It shows a return of The return for the Envy Bonus is 0. The Big Progressive tends to be much larger, because the player must flop a royal flush to win it.
In other words, the player cannot make use of the Turn and River cards to win the progressive, unlike in the Small Progressive. There is no Envy Bonus.
It was seen at the Buffalo Thunder casino in New Mexico. Royal entirely on board 0. The return for at any given time is Fixed wins are not deducted from the meter.
That would make the overall return It pays if either the player or dealer lose with a three of a kind or better. However, they pay 1 to 1 on the Ante if the dealer doesn't qualify, as opposed to the full Ante Bonus pay table.
Nowhere is this rule change disclosed in their game rules, I might add. The following table shows the number of combination, probability, and contribution to the return of all possible outcomes under ante pay table 3, which I'm told is the most frequently used.
The lower right cell shows a house edge of 2. The following return table is four pay table 4. The lower right cell shows a house edge of 0.
This pay table can be found at Internet casinos using Gamesys N. A "session" ends after a period of one hour with no bet or 24 hours, whichever happens first.
I would like to thank Stephen How of Discount Gambling for supplying the combinations in pay table 4. The only pay tables fully analyzed are 3 and 4, because it takes my computer about a month to cycle through all possible combinations.
However, assuming the player was following optimal strategy under pay table 3 but playing under pay table 1 or 2, the house edge under pay table 1 would be 2.
The actual house edge under pay tables 1 and 2 would be slightly less or equal to these figures. Unfortunately, there is no easy way to quantify optimal strategy for this game.
In general these are when the player has two singletons in the hole that are low compared to the flop, with little or no chance for a straight or flush.
It pays based on the poker value of the player's hand after the flop. There are three known pay tables, as follows:. Pay tables 1 and 2 can be found in land casinos.
Pay table 3 is used by Internet casinos using Gamesys software. The Progressive Jackpot bet shall pay based on the player's two hole cards and the five community cards only.
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